Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.119888 1.333971 1.558496 1.809937 2.082155 2.366600 2.684947
2025-01-12 0.781191 1.072321 1.399302 1.786585 2.226339 2.704572 3.258692
2025-01-19 0.659032 0.996781 1.393394 1.879167 2.445652 3.074865 3.816805
2025-01-26 0.572636 0.947740 1.406082 1.983513 2.671471 3.448245 4.376368
2025-02-02 0.513926 0.920968 1.435472 2.098629 2.902048 3.820563 4.928884
2025-02-09 0.473844 0.911511 1.481156 2.229393 3.148158 4.208888 5.498584
2025-02-16 0.419584 0.874378 1.485586 2.304518 3.324012 4.512664 5.968810
2025-02-23 0.355330 0.813855 1.452978 2.328038 3.433377 4.735334 6.342605
2025-03-02 0.269520 0.707434 1.349260 2.253114 3.415928 4.802882 6.531101
2025-03-09 0.194930 0.604503 1.240495 2.163673 3.374061 4.836144 6.674856
2025-03-16 0.144933 0.532877 1.169397 2.118586 3.383451 4.927605 6.884329
2025-03-23 0.118314 0.499670 1.152303 2.144638 3.482118 5.126848 7.221788
2025-03-30 0.089262 0.456531 1.120221 2.153643 3.565450 5.316415 7.559996
2025-04-06 0.059181 0.399848 1.061408 2.122098 3.594650 5.439175 7.818918
2025-04-13 0.052528 0.400795 1.096994 2.225720 3.802103 5.783867 8.347038
2025-04-20 0.047811 0.405930 1.139419 2.339430 4.023429 6.146627 8.898159
2025-04-27 0.044982 0.415995 1.190223 2.465545 4.261633 6.531018 9.476288
2025-05-04 0.044137 0.432220 1.251963 2.608157 4.522474 6.944530 10.090834
2025-05-11 0.037322 0.426050 1.273153 2.690013 4.701264 7.254516 10.578777
2025-05-18 0.026753 0.400638 1.257635 2.715602 4.803099 7.466638 10.946343
2025-05-25 0.012094 0.341402 1.173875 2.634025 4.756312 7.487998 11.077538
2025-06-01 0.003121 0.282895 1.083237 2.536504 4.683716 7.473419 11.161775
2025-06-08 0.000300 0.244067 1.025977 2.487288 4.674953 7.538168 11.341835